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The precipice : existential risk and the future of humanity /

Ord, Toby, 1979-

The precipice : existential risk and the future of humanity / Toby Ord. - New York : Bloomsbury Publishing, [2020] - x, 468 pages : illustrations, maps ; 24 cm

Includes bibliographical references (pages 423-460) and index.

Introduction -- How we got here -- Where we might go -- The precipice -- Understanding existential risk -- Looking to the present -- Looking to our future -- Looking to our past -- Civilization virtues -- Cosmic significance -- Uncertainty -- Our neglect of existential risks -- Asteroids & comets -- Supervolcanic eruptions -- Stellar explosions -- Other natural risks -- The total natural risk -- Nuclear weapons -- Climate change -- Environmental damage -- Pandemics -- Unaligned artificial intelligence -- Dystopian scenarios -- Other risks -- Quantifying the risks -- Combining and comparing risks -- Risk factors -- Which risks? -- Grand strategy for humanity -- Risks without precedent -- International coordination -- Technological progress -- Research on existential risk -- What you can do -- Duration -- Scale -- Quality -- Choices. Part one: the stakes. Standing at the precipice. Existential risk. Part two: the risks. Natural risks. Anthropogenic risks. Future risks. Part three: the path forward. The risk landscape. Safeguarding humanity. Our potential.

"Drawing on over a decade of research ... [the author] explores the cutting-edge science behind the risks we face. It puts them in the context of the greater story of humanity: showing how ending these risks is among the most pressing moral issues of our time. And it points the way forward, to the actions and strategies that can safeguard humanity"--

9781526600196 9781526600226 9781526600219 031648492X 9780316484893

Hachette Books, 53 State st 9th Fl, Boston, MA, USA, 02109, (617)2270730 SAN 200-2205

2019956459


2000-2099


Social prediction.
Social ecology.
Human ecology.
World politics--Forecasting.--21st century
Social Environment
Prévision sociale.
Écologie sociale.
Écologie humaine.
Politique mondiale--Prévision.--21e siècle
human ecology.
Human ecology.
Social ecology.
Social prediction.
World politics--Forecasting.

HM901 / .O73 2020

303.4909/05 / O65